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1. France vs Slovenia – Over 3.5 Sets
Odds: 1.75
Justification:
France, reigning Olympic champions and currently ranked #3 in the FIVB standings, enter this matchup with a strong pedigree and tactical depth. Their performance in the preliminary round — 8 wins out of 12 — highlights their consistency and ability to adapt under pressure.
Slovenia, however, is no pushover. Known for their aggressive serving and resilient defense, they’ve pushed top-tier teams to the brink throughout the tournament. Despite losing 0–3 to France in pool play, the set scores (25:23, 29:27, 25:23) reveal how razor-thin the margins were — each set could’ve swung either way.
Given Slovenia’s competitive edge and France’s tendency to engage in extended rallies, expecting at least 4 sets is a solid play. At 1.72 odds, this bet offers value without relying on a specific winner — just a hard-fought match between two elite squads.
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2. Poland vs Japan – Poland to win (1)
Odds: 1.40
Justification:
- Bookmakers assign Poland roughly a 70% chance to win, reflected in 1.50 odds versus Japan’s 2.82, underscoring their status as tournament favourites.
- The Biało-Czerwoni have shown superior net play, averaging over 2.0 blocks per set compared to Japan’s 1.8, a key factor in slowing down Japan’s quick attacks.
- Playing in front of a partisan crowd in Ningbo, Poland will feed off home-court energy in high-pressure moments.
3. Jagiellonia Białystok vs Novi Pazar – Jagiellonia to win (1)
Odds: 1.30
Justification:
- Jagiellonia is priced at around 1.29 for a home victory, reflecting their stronger squad, European experience, and home-field advantage.
- After a 2–1 away win last week, the hosts carry momentum and know how to manage European qualifiers under pressure.
- Novi Pazar have yet to win on the road this season and struggle to break down organised defences, making it likely Jagiellonia will control possession and find the net.
